Michal Ždanský Kana paine munhu achiri kukahadzika kutanga kwePost-PC nguva, nhamba dzakaburitswa svondo rino nemafemu ekuongorora. Strategy Analytics a IDC inofanira kupwisa kunyange vanopokana zvikurusa. Iyo post PC nguva yakatanga kutsanangurwa naSteve Jobs muna 2007 paakatsanangura maturusi emhando yePod semidziyo isingashandire zvinangwa zvakajairika asi inotarisa pane mamwe mabasa akadai sekuridza mimhanzi. Tim Cook akaenderera mberi ichi rhetoric makore mashoma gare gare, achiti Post PC zvishandiso zvave kutotsiva zvekare makomputa uye chiitiko ichi chichaenderera mberi.
Chikumbiro ichi chakapihwa nekambani Strategy Analytics nokuda kwechokwadi Maererano nefungidziro yavo, muna 2013 kutengesa kwemapiritsi kuchapfuura kutengesa kwemafoni ePC (kunyanya mabhuku ekunyorera) kekutanga, aine chikamu che55%. Nepo mahwendefa 231 miriyoni ari kutarisirwa kutengeswa, 186 miriyoni malaptops nemamwe macomputer enhare. Zvinofanira kucherechedzwa kuti gore rapfuura reshiyo yakanga iri pedyo zvakare, uye inosvika makumi mana neshanu muzana mukufarira mahwendefa. Gore rinouya, gaka rakaiswa kudzika, uye mahwendefa anofanirwa kuwana mugove we45 muzana pakati pemakomputa enharembozha.
Idzi inhau dzechokwadi dzeApple neGoogle, dzinogovana musika wese ingangoita hafu maererano neanoshanda masisitimu. Nekudaro, Apple ine ruoko rwepamusoro pano nekuti ndiyo yega yekugovera mahwendefa eIOS (iPad), nepo purofiti kubva mukutengeswa kwemapiritsi eAroid inogovaniswa pakati pevagadziri vakati wandei. Uye zvakare, akawanda akabudirira mahwendefa eAroid anotengeswa aine mashoma margin (Kindle Fire, Nexus 7), saka iyo yakawanda purofiti kubva muchikamu ichi ichaenda kuApple.
Pane zvinopesana, inhau dzakaipa kuMicrosoft, iyo iri kunetseka mumusika wetablet. Mapiritsi ayo eSurface haasati aona kubudirira kwakawanda, uye haana vamwe vagadziri vane Windows 8/Windows RT mapiritsi. kusaita zvakanaka. Kuita kuti zvinhu zvinyanye kuipa, mahwendefa ari kukura zvishoma nezvishoma kwete malaptops chete, asi makomputa emunhu kazhinji. Maererano neIDC, kutengesa kwePC kwakawira 10,1 muzana, kupfuura iyo firm yakatanga kutarisirwa (1,3% pakutanga kwegore, 7,9% muna May). Mushure mezvose, nguva yekupedzisira iyo misika yePC yakaona kukura yaiva mukota yekutanga ye2012, uye nguva yekupedzisira kutengesa kwakakura nekaviri-dijiti muzana muzana yaiva 2010, apo, zvakangoitika, Steve Jobs akazarura iPad yekutanga.
IDC zvakare inoti kuderera kucharamba kuenderera uye inofungidzira kutengesa kwe305,1 miriyoni maPC (desktop + laptops) muna 2014, pasi ne2,9% kubva pakufanotaura kwegore rino kwe314,2 miriyoni PC. Muzviitiko zvese izvi, zvakadaro, ichiri kungofungidzira. Muchokwadi, kufanotaura kwegore rinouya kunoratidzika kunge kwakanyanyisa kunaka, uyezve maererano IDC kuderera kunofanira kumira mumakore anotevera uye kutengesa kunofanira kusimuka zvakare mu2017.
IDC inotenda mukubudirira kusimuka kwema hybrid 2-in-1 makomputa, asi inofuratira chikonzero chekubudirira kwePad uye mahwendefa zvakazara. Vanhuwo zvavo vasingashandisi komputa kuita basa vanowanzo gutsikana neInternet browser, nyore mameseji edhita, kuwana masocial network, kuona mafoto, kutamba mavhidhiyo uye kutumira mae-mail, ayo iyo iPad inovapa zvakakwana pasina kunetsekana nayo. desktop inoshanda system. Panyaya iyi, iyo iPad ndeyechokwadi komputa yekutanga yeruzhinji nekuda kwekureruka kwayo uye intuitiveness. Mushure mezvose, anga asiri mumwe kunze kwaSteve Jobs akafanotaura maitiro ehwendefa muna 2010:
“Patakanga tiri nyika yekurima, mota dzese dzaive marori nekuti waida kupurazi. Asi sezvo zvokufambisa zvakavamba kushandiswa mumaguta, motokari dzakava dzakakurumbira zvikuru. Magadzirirwo akadai seatomatiki kutapurirana, magetsi ekufambisa uye zvimwe zvinhu zvausina basa nazvo mumarori zvakatanga kuve zvakakosha mumotokari. MaPC achaita semarori. Vachange vachiri pano, vachave vachiine kukosha kwakawanda, asi mumwe chete mu X vanhu ndiye achavashandisa.
Asi kutengesa kwemapiritsi zvakare kwakakwira zvakanyanya nekuti vanochinja kakawanda kupfuura makomputa. Ndinofunga kuti vanhu vazhinji havagone kurarama vasina komputa, asi zvakaoma kufanotaura ramangwana ...
Ingotarisa kufambira mberi uye remangwana zviri nyore kufanotaura :) The percentage of desktops and laptops in the total number of computers will stop at around 10-20% and then will not lower.
Uye kazhinji pane desktop imwe chete mumhuri, dzimwe nguva kunyange laptop, nepo mahwendefa ari kupararira zvakanyanya senharembozha, saka munhu wese mumhuri achave neimwe.
Kutengesa kwePC hakuzongonyangarika, uye nemalaptops haaite. Iwe unofanirwa kuita basa pane chimwe chinhu, uye ngative nechokwadi ... haugone kuita basa reunyanzvi pamapiritsi. Mahwendefa ari boom uye kana imwe coefficient yasangana… ivo vanotanga kudzikira. kana kusamira.
"Basa rehunyanzvi harigone kuitwa pamapiritsi." - Yakanaka nzvimbo yePad Pro! :D
Handizive kwaunowana chokwadi ichocho, asi ndinoda kudhirowa "nyanzvi" pane iPad pane paMac, saka handizive kwaunowana maonero akadaro. Uye hapana ari kutaura kuti PC ichanyangarika rimwe zuva, hazvitomboitike mumusimboti. Chete drive yaive yekutanga komputa yePC vanhu, mune ramangwana ichave iyo iPad (kana imwe kopi yayo).
Asi zvechokwadi vhidhiyo nyanzvi, vanogadzira mapurogiramu, nezvimwewo vachagara vaine malaptop kana desktops. Uye hapana akaramba izvozvo. Asi kune vanhu vazhinji, piritsi richave rakakwana panzvimbo yedesktop PC kana laptop - ndizvo zviri kuitika uku post-PC revolution.
Ndeipi imwe coefficient yaichazadzisa kwatiri?!
Iyo inenge iine munhu wese. MaPC nemalaptops ave aripo kwemakore xy. anenge munhu wese anazvo. Pasinei nokuti, semumwe munhu atotaurwa pano, zvikamu zvinotengwa kushandura PC, iyo isingabatanidzwi. Nekuda kweizvozvo, izvi zvinoreva kuti mastretcher chete anochinja. Mapiritsi ihombe yakanga isipo makore mashoma apfuura, hapana aive nawo, yakanga ichitanga zvakare. Tarisa pacurve apo makomputa edesktop kana malaptop aisimuka. Iwe uchaona zvakafanana curve. Kana anenge munhu wese aine piritsi, zvakafanana zvichaitika nayo senge PC. Ingori mhindumupindu yechinyakare, kwete chimurenga sekunyora kwakaita mumwe munhu pano. Handidi kuramba macurves etc. Ini ndinongofunga kuti inguva yekare yekushanduka-shanduka uye haina kuratidza chero chinhu, handisi kuzosiya desktop yangu PC. Uye nokutendeseka, ini handigone kufungidzira kuita zvimwe zvinhu pahwendefa. Uye pfungwa yekunyora thesis yangu yebachelor pahwendefa, semuenzaniso, inondipa kutonhora. Kune rumwe rutivi, kana piritsi, ipapo chete ipad. Kana chimwe chinhu chakanaka chebasa, saka Mac chete. Kana kuteerera mhando mimhanzi, ipapo chete iPod. Uye kana foni, ipapo chete iPhone :).
Mubvunzo: Ndeipi imwe coefficient ichatizadzisa?!
A: Iyo inenge iine munhu wese.
Hmm, mhinduro yakaoma kubva kumudzidzi wepayunivhesiti (akapedza kudzidza).
Mune maonero angu, kutengesa kwePC kunongova seti yakakwana. A yakakosha muzana inovaka iyo PC pachayo kubva kune yega zvikamu (izvo zvandinofunga kuti hazvina kubatanidzwa).
Ini ndinofunga iyo faira iri nezve kuvandudzwa kwecurve pane imwe nhamba chaiyo. Uye mahwendefa ari kutsiviwa zvishoma nezvishoma nePC kune vanhuwo zvavo. Uye ini handishamisi :)
Dambudziko nderekuti vanhu vazhinji vanovaka maPC avo pachavo uye izvo hazvina kubatanidzwa mufungidziro. Ndakaunganidza PC yangu kaviri uye approx. Handisati ndambotenga makomputa gumi emaPC anozivikanwa uye akazara. Sekuona kwangu, iyo PC platform ichiri yakakosha uye munhu wese anofanirwa kuve nePC nekuti malaptop zvinhu zvevatengi (ini pachangu, ini handisati ndave neMac, asi kunze kweFrance, Italy neUK, maMac haana kupararira zvakanyanya Europe, saka ini handigone kutonga izvozvo). Ini ndinofunga kuti munhu wese anofanirwa kuve nedesktop PC, kubasa uye kumba, iyo mashandiro ayo asingakwanisi kuyerwa, uye kana uchifamba, diki asi hombe iPad ichagara kwemakore akati wandei, inoenderana uye inogona kushandiswa.
Mune maonero angu, chikamu chevanhu vanovaka PC kumba, vachipiwa huwandu hwePC inotengeswa, ichava pamagumo ekukanganisa kwenhamba yeongororo yakataurwa.
Ini pachangu ndinoshandisa iPad kubasa uye kumba, asi ini handikwanise kugara ndisina laptop. Ini handingashandise desktop PC nekuti ini ndinoda kufambisa nezviri mukati melaptop.
"Vanhu vazhinji vanovaka yavo PC", "PC chikuva ndiyo inonyanya kukosha", "munhu wese anofanira kuve nePC"
Cute, haugone kuenderera mberi kubva pachokwadi pane idzi pfungwa :) Asi dude, iwe unofarira PC, asi iwe haudi kundiudza kuti unotenda chaizvo zvaunonyora.
Kana iri "kukosha" kwepuratifomu, ini handisi kuona kuti unoda sei kuenzanisa kukosha mumusimboti. Kana pakanga pasina chikonzero, saka haipo. Zviri nyore saizvozvi.